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Published June 19, 2009 05:10 pm -

Oxendine and Barnes top picks for governor, polling firm says


Submitted by Strategic Vision

Strategic Vision, LLC, a public relations and public affairs agency, announced the results of a three-day poll of 800 likely Georgia voters. The poll has a margin of error of �3 percentage points. In the poll, 368 (46%) Republican voters were surveyed; with 328 (41%) Democratic voters surveyed; and 104 (13%) Independents and other party affiliation polled.

When asked if they approved or disapproved of Governor Sonny Perdue’s job performance, 53% approved; 36% disapproved; and 11% were undecided. Fifty percent of respondents approved of Senator Saxby Chambliss’ job performance; 40% disapproved; and 10% were undecided. Senator Johnny Isakson had 56% approving of his job performance; 35% disapproving; and 9% undecided.

“Senator Isakson continues to be Georgia’s most popular politician,” said David E. Johnson, CEO of Strategic Vision, LLC. “His support cuts across Party lines and places him in a strong position for re-election. Interestingly enough both Governor Perdue and Senator Chambliss draw the highest disapproval numbers among voters who identify themselves as strong conservatives.”

The results of the poll showed that 49% of those polled approved of President Barack Obama’s overall job performance; with 43% disapproving; and 8% undecided. When asked if they approved of the President’s handling of the economy, 48% approved; 43% disapproved; and 9% were undecided. On the issue of Iraq, the poll found 52% approved of the President’s handling of the war; with 40% disapproving; and 8% undecided. When asked if they approved of the President’s overall foreign policy, 48% approved; 39% disapproved; and 13% were undecided.

“President Obama’s numbers have dipped significantly since our polling in April,” said Johnson. “There seems to be a greater polarization along Party lines than in April and more Independents are viewing the President unfavorably than in April. The President’s strongest area of support continues to be in the metro Atlanta area and among African-Americans.”

When asked if they thought Georgia was headed in the right direction or wrong direction, 49% said right; 44% said wrong; and 7% were undecided.

“With the economy remaining the number one issue in Georgia, the number of Georgians viewing the state positively remains below 50% but is higher than it was in the fall of 2008,” said Johnson.

When asked if voters approved or disapproved of the way Congress is handling its job, 20% approved; 66% disapproved; and 14% were undecided.

“Approval for Congress remains as it has been for a year very abysmal,” said Johnson. “A majority of Independents and large number of Democrats disapprove of Congress.”

When Republicans were asked their choice for Governor in 2010, the results were Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine 35%; Secretary of State Karen Handel 13%; Congressman Nathan Deal 12%; State Senator Eric Johnson 4%; Ray McBerry 2%; State Representative Austin Scott 2%; and 32% undecided.

“Oxendine continues to lead in this race but a troubling sign is that his support seems to have a ceiling of between 30% to 35% in our polling that is very similar to Ralph Reed in his race for Lieutenant Governor in 2006 when his failure to draw more than 45% of the vote indicated that he had a ceiling of support,” said Johnson. “At this point Oxendine must demonstrate that he can break out of this ceiling level and grow his support.”

“Handel and Deal both have an opening to become the anti-Oxendine candidate in the race,” said Johnson. “Although Handel like Oxendine seems unable at this point to grow her support. She continues to draw heavily among Republican women. Deal draws good numbers among voters in North Georgia and also in South Georgia and among voters aged 55 and over. At this point Senator Johnson, McBerry, and Representative Scott do not appear to be factors.”

When Democrats were asked their choice for Governor the results were former Governor Roy Barnes 49%; State Attorney General Thurbert Baker 30%; Former State Labor Commissioner, Ex-State Adjutant General Poythress 5%; House Minority Leader Dubose Porter 2%; and 14% undecided.

“While Barnes has a strong lead on the Democratic side, his support in our polling has declined by 7% since our April poll when he was only a possible candidate versus an actual candidate,” said Johnson. “This could mean reservations among Democrats over an actual Barnes’ candidacy. Many of Barnes’ former supporters are now undecided. Baker draws extremely heavily among African-American voters and if he can draw in moderate white voters could pose a challenge to Barnes.”



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